AMJ Financial Blog

Tag Archive: inflation

Market Commentary – 5/7/18

What in the world? A lot happened last week. Some of the notable events included: Trade talks between the United States and China. The talks were described as “frank, efficient, and constructive,” although significant issues have yet to be resolved. A Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The Federal Reserve indicated it expects to raise rates… Read More

Market Commentary – 2/20/18

As New York Fashion Week ended, inflation strutted its stuff. Ever since the Federal Reserve began raising the Fed funds rate in 2015, analysts have been anticipating higher inflation. The fact that price increases remained relatively small was a perplexing mystery. Then, last week, inflation increased faster than expected. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported… Read More

Market Commentary – 1/16/18

Inflation, inflation, where’s the inflation? The U.S. Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates in anticipation of higher inflation. In its 2018 forecast, Goldman Sachs indicated it expected to see “a gradual increase in global core inflation, albeit to levels that are still below central bank targets in most places.” At year-end 2017, Barron’s wrote:… Read More

Market Commentary – Dec. 18, 2017

Here we come a tax-reforming… The reconciliation of Congressional tax reform bills proceeded apace last week, and Congress is expected to vote on the measure early this week. If tax reform passes, Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, head of U.S. equity strategy with JPMorgan, thinks we may see value stocks swing back into favor. Barron’s reported: “The spread… Read More

Market Commentary – October 2, 2017

A lot happened during the third quarter of 2017, but not much changed. The bull market in U.S. stocks continued to charge ahead. Traditional measures of valuation continued to suggest the market is overvalued, but some analysts argued it’s different this time. The Economist explained: “The current [cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings] ratio of 31 suggests that stocks… Read More

Market Commentary – June 19, 2017

All eyes on inflation! Inflation is the way economists measure changes in the prices of goods and services. The United States has enjoyed relatively low inflation for a significant period of time. Last week, the consumer price index indicated inflation had moved lower in May. Inflation is our focus because it is at the core… Read More

Market Commentary – January 30, 2017

An historic moment for U.S. stock markets… The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 20,000 last week. Barron’s cautioned investors not to make too much of the milestone since, “There are only 30 stocks in the index so each one carries a lot of weight.” Regardless of the significance of the Dow’s move, U.S. stock markets… Read More

Market Commentary – December 5, 2016

Flirting with higher interest rates. Last week, yields on 10-year Treasury bonds rose to a 17-month high of 2.44 percent, reported The Wall Street Journal, before retreating to finish the week at about 2.4 percent. As we’ve mentioned previously, some experts suspect the bull market in bonds, which has persisted for more than 30 years,… Read More

Market Commentary – September 19, 2016

If it’s not one thing, it may be another. Economic data released last week will factor into this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision on whether to push interest rates higher in the United States. Some of the August data supports the idea economic growth was soft. For example, August retail sales fell more… Read More

Retired? Don’t stop saving yet!

When it comes to retirement savings, a lot of emphasis is put on saving money leading up to retirement. But what happens after you retire? It’s important to know that your money will last as long as you need it to, so don’t throw your financial plan out the window just yet. Here are 5… Read More